Observed Tropospheric Temperature Response to 11-yr Solar Cycle and What It...

Zhou, J., and K. Tung (2013), Observed Tropospheric Temperature Response to 11-yr Solar Cycle and What It Reveals about Mechanisms, J. Atmos. Sci., 70, 9-14, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-12-0214.1.
Abstract: 

Using 54 yr of NCEP reanalysis global data from 1000 to 10 hPa, this study establishes the existence and the statistical significance of the zonal-mean temperature response to the 11-yr solar cycle throughout the troposphere and parts of the lower stratosphere. Two types of statistical analysis are used: the composite-mean difference projection method, which tests the existence of the solar cycle signal level by level, and the adaptive AR(p)-t test, which tells if a particular local feature is statistically significant at the 95% confidence level. A larger area of statistical significance than that in previous published work is obtained, due to the longer record and a better trend removal process. It reveals a spatial pattern consistent with a ‘‘bottom up’’ mechanism, involving evaporative feedback near the tropical ocean surface and tropical vertical convection, latent heating of the tropical upper troposphere, and poleward large-scale heat transport to the polar regions. It provides an alternative to the currently favored ‘‘top down’’ mechanism involving stratospheric ozone heating.

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Research Program: 
Climate Variability and Change Program