Sensitivity of inverse estimation of annual mean CO2 sources and sinks to...

Patra, P. K., K. R. Gurney, S. Denning, S. Maksyutov, T. Nakazawa, D. Baker, P. Bousquet, L. Bruhwiler, Y. Chen, P. Ciais, S. Fan, I. Fung, M. Gloor, M. Heimann, K. Higuchi, J. John, R. M. Law, T. Maki, B. C. Pak, P. Peylin, M. Prather, P. J. Rayner, J. Sarmiento, S. Taguchi, T. Takahashi, and C. Yuen (2006), Sensitivity of inverse estimation of annual mean CO2 sources and sinks to ocean-only sites versus all-sites observational networks, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L05814, doi:10.1029/2005GL025403.

Inverse estimation of carbon dioxide (CO2) sources and sinks uses atmospheric CO2 observations, mostly made near the Earth’s surface. However, transport models used in such studies lack perfect representation of atmospheric dynamics and thus often fail to produce unbiased forward simulations. The error is generally larger for observations over the land than those over the remote/marine locations. The range of this error is estimated by using multiple transport models (16 are used here). We have estimated the remaining differences in CO2 fluxes due to the use of oceanonly versus all-sites (i.e., over ocean and land) observations of CO2 in a time-independent inverse modeling framework. The fluxes estimated using the ocean-only networks are more robust compared to those obtained using all-sites networks. This makes the global, hemispheric, and regional flux determination less dependent on the selection of transport model and observation network.

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Carbon Cycle & Ecosystems Program (CCEP)